This report presents the medium-term outlook for the major EU agricultural commodity markets and agricultural income to 2026, based on a set of coherent macroeconomic assumptions deemed most plausible at the time of the analysis. The projections assume a continuation of current agricultural and trade policies.
These assumptions imply relatively smooth market developments while in reality markets tend to be much more volatile. Therefore, the outlook is not a forecast. More precisely, the projections correspond to the average trend agricultural markets are expected to follow in a given macroeconomic environment were policies to remain unchanged.
Prospects for agricultural markets and income in the EU 2016-2026 (06/12/2016)
- Proceedings of the October 2016 workshop “EU commodity market development: Medium-term agricultural outlook”
- Partial stochastic analysis with the European Commission’s version of the AGLINK-COSIMO model (JRC_IPTS)